Stock Market Correction or Bear Market?
Time will tell, but we think we’re in a correction, here's why. Over the last 100+ or so years the average large stock market correction...
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Mark Stys
- Feb 7
- 3 min
Economic Re-acceleration Coming?
The current level of pent-up demand in the US economy is one rarely if ever seen. The US entered 2020 with a drawn down in inventories...
15 views
Mark Stys
- Jan 6
- 3 min
What’s next for home prices?
The US Home Price Index saw unprecedented growth from mid-2020 thru 2021. Demand was outstripping supply for numerous reasons: below...
80 views
Mark Stys
- Apr 27, 2021
- 2 min
Trucking 'Tightness' Points to Big Economic Growth - and Higher Prices
How tight is the need for trucking to move goods nationally? About the tightest on record. In the chart below we can see that trucking...
77 views
Mark Stys
- Nov 5, 2020
- 2 min
Who Owns US Government Debt? Mostly America
With the election too close to call and therefore the next level of government stimulus spending still unknown we thought it would be a...
52 views
Mark Stys
- Oct 27, 2020
- 1 min
The Challenge Ahead
Regardless of who wins the election, getting the economy hitting on all cylinders will be a challenge based on Covid restrictions (some...
30 views
Mark Stys
- Oct 14, 2020
- 1 min
It's a Confidence Thing
Sentiment tends to drive behavior. As people feel more confident in their outlook for their sports team, their country, their...
43 views
Mark Stys
- Oct 7, 2020
- 3 min
Is the Federal Reserve's Next Issue a Convexity Trap?
Convexity relates to the interaction between a bond's price and its yield as it experiences changes in interest rates. In general, the...
37 views
Mark Stys
- Sep 23, 2020
- 2 min
Using Price/Earning Ratio
There are numerous technical and fundamental indicators one can use to try to determine if the market is anywhere from cheap to...
110 views
Mark Stys
- Sep 15, 2020
- 2 min
An Uneven Asset Class Recovery - CRE
While we are positive on the long term outlook for the US economy and investment markets, the recovery and risks over the short to...
28 views
Mark Stys
- Sep 1, 2020
- 4 min
Inflation and the Federal Reserve’s New Policy
The Federal Reserve Bank Chairman announced a change in interest rate policy last week. The new policy's new goal is that “following...
48 views
Mark Stys
- Aug 25, 2020
- 3 min
The Double Boom - Part 2: Housing
In our last post, we discussed the expected increase in economic activity we should see from inventory building due to the very low...
62 views
Mark Stys
- Aug 18, 2020
- 2 min
The Double Boom - Part 1: Inventories
While the shape of the recovery from Covid has been discussed at length, it is the shortages in inventories and housing that are going to...
111 views
Mark Stys
- Aug 11, 2020
- 4 min
It's 'Different' this Time...
Most marketplaces are undergoing constant evolution, but sometimes there is 'revolution' - instances where an outside force can actually...
85 views
Mark Stys
- Aug 3, 2020
- 2 min
Why Due Diligence Matters...
We were having an investment discussion recently on risk and opportunities based on the economic and business numbers we have seen due to...
49 views
Mark Stys
- Mar 17, 2020
- 2 min
The Stock Market and the Long Run
In the long run, the stock market is about where it should be. At the peak of the previous bull market in 2007, the S&P 500 reached an...
41 views
Mark Stys
- Mar 6, 2020
- 1 min
More great BC economic numbers that don't matter - for now
The employment report for February came in far stronger than expected and with the upward revisions January 'shocked' many. We weren't...
34 views
Mark Stys
- Feb 24, 2020
- 2 min
Don't Panic!
Don't panic over Coronavirus and the drop in the stock market. As of Friday's close, the S&P 500 was up 3.61% for the year. We've known...
93 views
Mark Stys
- Feb 19, 2020
- 2 min
Does a Pop in PPI Signal Potential Inflation?
The PPI data released today came in much higher than expected on both a month over month (MoM) and year over year (YoY) basis. While one...
17 views
Mark Stys
- Feb 7, 2020
- 2 min
Here comes the Boom - Part 2
The Employment Report for Jan 2020 further convinces us that a secondary boom in the US economy has begun. Virtually every economic...
48 views